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St. Polten W vs Bergheim W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hillebrand S.
36' Event
Krassnig T.
40' Event
Mattner-Trembleau S.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 game between St. Polten W and Bergheim W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Polten W
20%
Draws
40%
Bergheim W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Polten W come out ahead of Bergheim W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St. Polten W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Polten W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 20%
Bergheim W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten W Bergheim W
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 25 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.66 0.74
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Bergheim W
4:2
Oct 5, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs St. Polten W
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs St. Polten W
0:3
Oct 1, 2023 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Bergheim W
4:0
Apr 23, 2023 Bundesliga Women
Bergheim W vs St. Polten W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hillebrand S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattner-Trembleau S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Bergheim W Compare

Top Goalscorer Krassnig T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten W 85 / 100
Bergheim W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten W Bergheim W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Polten W scored in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

St. Polten W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Bergheim W conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten W VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
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Bergheim W

(Away)
10 May
Union Kleinmunchen W
1 : 1
Bergheim W
04 May
Bergheim W
1 : 0
Neulengbach W
26 Apr
Bergheim W
1 : 2
LASK Linz W
19 Apr
SCR Altach W
1 : 0
Bergheim W
12 Apr
Bergheim W
3 : 0
Dornbirn W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 18 14 3 1 53:8 45
2 Austria Vienna W 18 12 4 2 42:6 40
3 First Vienna W 18 10 3 5 31:23 33
4 Sturm Graz W 18 9 4 5 24:16 31
5 SCR Altach W 18 7 1 10 23:30 22
6 Bergheim W 18 4 9 5 12:16 21
7 Neulengbach W 18 5 5 8 15:25 20
8 Union Kleinmunchen W 18 5 1 12 14:37 16
9 Dornbirn W 18 3 4 11 12:36 13
10 LASK Linz W 18 4 0 14 17:46 12
Promotion - Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)