Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Polten W vs Salzburg W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
St. Polten W Logo

St. Polten W

3 - 0
FT
Salzburg W Logo

Salzburg W

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mattner-Trembleau S.
Assist: Brunold C.
46'
Sub
Hamzic A. In: Schirmbrand S.
Out: Hamzic A.
47' Event
Mattner-Trembleau S.
Assist: Brunold C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 game between St. Polten W and Salzburg W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
St. Polten W
20%
Draws
23%
Salzburg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Polten W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Polten W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Polten W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Polten W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 20%
Salzburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten W Salzburg W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 25 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 3.06 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
2:0
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs St. Polten W
0:3
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
6:1
Sep 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs St. Polten W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattner-Trembleau S.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Salzburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten W 85 / 100
Salzburg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten W Salzburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Salzburg W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

St. Polten W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten W VS Salzburg W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten W

(Home)
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
12 Sept
First Vienna W
1 : 4
St. Polten W
02 Sept
Juventus W
1 : 1
St. Polten W
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Salzburg W

(Away)
26 Sept
Rapid Vienna W
0 : 1
Salzburg W
19 Sept
LASK Linz W
0 : 0
Salzburg W
12 Sept
Salzburg W
1 : 3
SCR Altach W
29 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 0
Salzburg W
21 Aug
Austria Vienna W
7 : 0
Salzburg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria Vienna W 6 2 4 0 58:8 62
2 St. Polten W 6 4 2 0 72:13 60
3 Sturm Graz W 6 1 1 4 47:35 38
4 Salzburg W 6 0 3 3 37:43 31
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)