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St Sebastien vs Chauray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Chauray advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
St Sebastien
15%
Draws
14%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Sebastien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chauray come out ahead of St Sebastien on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans St Sebastien's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Chauray arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chauray, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
St Sebastien Clean Sheet 19%
Chauray Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Sebastien Chauray
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 2 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2009 Coupe de France
St Sebastien vs Chauray
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Sebastien 76 / 100
Chauray 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Sebastien Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Sebastien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chauray conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

St Sebastien scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Chauray's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chauray
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Sebastien

(Home)
14 Aug
St Sebastien
3 : 2
Vertou
21 Nov
St Sebastien
1 : 3
Chauray
24 Nov
St Sebastien
0 : 1
Vannes

Chauray

(Away)
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montceau 2
Seyssinet 0
Creteil 0
Tours 2
Strasbourg 3
Biesheim 1
Tremery 0
Thionville 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
AC Ajaccio 2
Cassis Carnoux 1
Pamiers 0
Balma 2
Luzenac 1
Arles-Avignon 0
Ain Sud Foot 0
Cannes 4
Rodez 4
Venissieux FC 1
Franciscain 1
Lucon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Beauvais 4
Rouen 2
Montlucon 0
Nevers 1
Dijon 3
Amneville 0
Granville 1
Versailles 2
Chauray 3
St Sebastien 1
Cognac 0
Feytiat 1
Calvi 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Canet Roussillon 1
Agen 2
Le Mans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Oberlauterbach 1
Sarrebourg 1
Besancon RC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Grande Motte 2
AS Muret 1
Bastia 0
Marignane GCB 1
Annonay 1
Valence 0
Toulon 1
Villefranche 2
Grenoble -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Troyes 6
Bischheim Soleil 0
Toul 0
Selongey 1
Romorantin 5
Stade Poitevin 2
La Vitreenne 1
Vannes 4
Brest 5
St Mars La Briere 0
St. Renan 1
TA Rennes 3
Plouvorn 2
Combourgeoise 0
Cayenne 0
Pontivy 5
Les Herbiers 3
US Tregunc 2
La Fleche 2
Chartres 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
La Ferte-bernard 4
Courbevoie 0
Blanquefort 0
Trelissac 1
Compiegne 1
Arras 0
Lumbres 1
Marck 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Quevilly 6
Kaweni 0
Villemomble 0
Pacy Eure 1
Fresnoy 3
Neuilly Marne 0
Maubeuge 1
St Quentin 3
Lattes 1
Bayonne 0
Bourg Jall 2
Bagnols Pont 4
Excelsior 1
Quimper Stade 0
Poissy 0
Angers 1
Saumur Olympique 3
Chateauroux 1
Moulins 2
Cholet 3
Cherbourg 4
Chantepie 0
Mont Dore 3
Avranches 5
Caen 1
Dunkerque 0
Sin Le Noble 0
Les Lilas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paimpol 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Fougeres 1
Bonchamp 2
Marquette 2
Tourcoing 1
Issy 1
Loon Plage 2
La Chapelle 3
Jarville 2
Sarre Union 2
Mulhouse 3
Colmar 5
Baume Dames 2
Jura Dolois 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Seclin 5
Luneray 4
SC Feignies (inactive) 0
Aire-sur-la-Lys 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boulogne -
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avion 1
Le Havre 0
Roissy 1
Amiens SC 7
St Ouen 5
Chambly 2
Clermont 1
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Montereau 0
Moissy-Cramayel 2
Calais 1
Sedan 3
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Niort 2
St Jean Le Blan 0
St Germain Fosses 1
Thiers 6
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Concarneau 3
Nantes 0
Montgermont 1
Plabennec 4
Vesoul 2
Sens 1
Robertsau 1
Forbach 3
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Marie Galante 2
Vitre 0
Laval 2
Dizier 2
Reims Ste Anne 1
La Vigilante 1
Orleans 7
ESB Marboz 1
Mt Pilat 0
Manu-Ura 0
Raon L Etape 3
Thonon-Evian 3
Vallieres ET 0
Saint Priest 0
Feurs 1
Nimes 2
Istres 1
Gaudens 1
Pau 3
Aubervilliers 1
Flers 0
Hermes Berth. 1
Cambrai 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Monaco -
TBD -
Montceau 1
Tours 2
Strasbourg 3
Thionville 0
TBD -
Lyon -
AC Ajaccio 3
Balma 1
Luzenac 0
Cannes 3
Rodez 3
Lucon 1
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Beauvais 4
Nevers 1
Dijon 0
Versailles 1
Chauray 1
Feytiat 0
Calvi 0
Agen 1
Le Mans -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
St. Louis Neuweg 4
Besancon RC 0
TBD -
Sochaux -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Grande Motte 1
Marignane GCB 0
Annonay 1
Villefranche 2
Grenoble -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Troyes 2
Selongey 1
Romorantin 0
Vannes 2
Brest 2
TA Rennes 1
Plouvorn 1
Pontivy 5
Les Herbiers 2
Chartres 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Marseille -
TBD -
La Ferte-bernard 2
Trelissac 3
Compiegne 3
Marck 2
TBD -
Lens -
Quevilly 2
Pacy Eure 0
Fresnoy 0
St Quentin 1
Lattes 1
Bagnols Pont 0
Excelsior 0
Angers 5
Saumur Olympique 3
Cholet 2
Cherbourg 0
Avranches 3
Caen 1
Les Lilas 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Guingamp -
TBD -
Paimpol 1
Bonchamp 2
Marquette 2
Loon Plage 1
La Chapelle 1
Mulhouse 4
Colmar 3
Metz 2
TBD -
Lille -
Seclin 1
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
TBD -
Boulogne -
Auxerre -
TBD -
Avion 1
Amiens SC 2
St Ouen 2
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Moissy-Cramayel 1
Sedan 3
Nancy -
TBD -
Niort 1
Thiers 3
Nice -
TBD -
Concarneau 0
Plabennec 2
Vesoul 4
Forbach 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Laval 4
Dizier 4
Orleans 3
ESB Marboz 1
Raon L Etape 6
Thonon-Evian 4
Feurs 0
Nimes 1
Pau 2
Aubervilliers 1
Cambrai 0
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Monaco 1
Tours 0
Strasbourg 1
Lyon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Cannes 0
Rodez 0
Bordeaux 1
Beauvais 3
Versailles 0
Chauray 0
Agen 1
Le Mans 1
Valenciennes 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Sochaux 1
St Etienne 4
Lorient 1
Grande Motte 0
Villefranche 2
Grenoble 3
Montpellier 2
Troyes 1
Vannes 2
Brest 1
Pontivy 0
Les Herbiers 0
Toulouse 1
Marseille 2
Trelissac 0
Compiegne 0
Lens 1
Quevilly 6
St Quentin 0
Lattes 0
Angers 1
Saumur Olympique 1
Avranches 0
Caen 0
Rennes 2
Guingamp 2
Bonchamp 0
Marquette 1
Mulhouse 2
Colmar 1
Lille 0
Seclin 1
Boulogne 4
Auxerre 1
Amiens SC 0
St Ouen 0
Sedan 3
Nancy 2
Thiers 1
Nice 1
Plabennec 2
Vesoul 2
Laval 1
Dizier 0
Raon L Etape 4
Thonon-Evian 2
Pau 0
Aubervilliers 0
PSG 5
1/16-finals
Monaco 2
Lyon 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Bordeaux 5
Beauvais 3
Agen 0
Le Mans 0
Sochaux 3
St Etienne 3
Villefranche 2
Grenoble 3
Vannes 4
Brest 2
Toulouse 0
Marseille 1
Lens 3
Quevilly 1
Angers 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Rennes 4
Guingamp 1
Mulhouse 0
Colmar 1
Boulogne 2
Auxerre 2
Sedan 1
Nancy 0
Plabennec 2
Vesoul 1
Raon L Etape 0
Thonon-Evian 1
PSG 3
1/8-finals
Monaco 2
Bordeaux 0
Beauvais 1
Sochaux 4
St Etienne 2
Vannes 0
Brest 1
Lens 2
Quevilly 1
Rennes 0
Guingamp 0
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 4
Plabennec 0
Vesoul 0
PSG 1
Quarter-finals
Monaco 4
Sochaux 3
St Etienne 1
Lens 3
Quevilly 3
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 0
PSG 1
Semi-finals
Monaco 1
Lens 0
Quevilly 0
PSG 1
Final
Monaco 0
PSG 1