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St Sebastien vs Vertou

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Sebastien in this Club Friendly 2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Sebastien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St Sebastien
15%
Draws
46%
Vertou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vertou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • St Sebastien haven't matched Vertou's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
St Sebastien Clean Sheet 16%
Vertou Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Sebastien Vertou
Matches Played 3 18
Wins 1 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.22
Goals Conceded 2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2020 Club Friendly
St Sebastien vs Vertou
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Sebastien 36 / 100
Vertou 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Sebastien Vertou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vertou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

St Sebastien scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Vertou's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 18 matches.

Difficult form: Vertou registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Sebastien VS Vertou
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St Sebastien

(Home)
14 Aug
St Sebastien
3 : 2
Vertou
21 Nov
St Sebastien
1 : 3
Chauray
24 Nov
St Sebastien
0 : 1
Vannes

Vertou

(Away)
01 Dec
Saint-Denis
1 : 0
Vertou
17 Nov
Etoile Maritime
0 : 3
Vertou
14 Aug
St Sebastien
3 : 2
Vertou
08 Dec
Vertou
1 : 3
Bergerac
18 Nov
Bellevue Nantes
0 : 2
Vertou
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