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St. Truiden vs Lommel SK

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden host Lommel SK in the Jupiler Pro League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lommel SK have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while St. Truiden have conceded 1 and scored 2.38. Past meetings favor St. Truiden slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2020, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward St. Truiden. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Truiden
6%
Draws
4%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Truiden average 2.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Lommel SK's 2.13.
  • St. Truiden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 15%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Lommel SK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2020 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
1:1
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
1:2
Jul 14, 2018 Club Friendly
Lommel SK vs St. Truiden
0:1
Mar 16, 2017 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
6:1
Apr 25, 2015 Challenger Pro League
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 84 / 100
Lommel SK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Lommel SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommel SK has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

St. Truiden has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

St. Truiden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Lommel SK
2.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
22 Jul
RFC Liege
0 : 1
St. Truiden
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
15 Jul
Patro Eisden
0 : 4
St. Truiden
04 Jul
Zepperen-Brustem
0 : 6
St. Truiden
01 Jul
Thes Sport
1 : 2
St. Truiden
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Lommel SK

(Away)
18 Jul
Lommel SK
2 : 1
G.A. Eagles
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1
Lommel SK
07 Jul
Kryvbas
2 : 4
Lommel SK
23 May
Dender
0 : 0
Lommel SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antwerp00000:00
2Leuven00000:00
3Lommel SK00000:00
4Anderlecht00000:00
5Cercle Brugge00000:00
6Charleroi00000:00
7Club Brugge00000:00
8Genk00000:00
9Gent00000:00
10KV Mechelen00000:00
11St. Liege00000:00
12St. Truiden00000:00
13Waregem00000:00
14Westerlo00000:00
15Kortrijk00000:00
16Royale Union SG00000:00
17SK Beveren00000:00
18RAAL La Louviere00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)