Sport Picks
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
Belgium
Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden 
Match Events
24'
24'
Seuntjens R.
(Penalty)
49'
49'
Sub
Nypan S. In: Talvitie J.
Out: Nypan S.
56'
56'
Sub
Appuah S. In: Vancsa Z.
Out: Appuah S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Truiden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Truiden have won more games recently than Lommel SK.
- St. Truiden are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 68%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Truiden | Lommel SK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
1:1
Aug 17, 2020 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
1:1
Jul 17, 2019 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
1:2
Jul 14, 2018 Club Friendly
Lommel SK vs St. Truiden
0:1
Mar 16, 2017 Club Friendly
St. Truiden vs Lommel SK
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Truiden Compare
Top Goalscorer Sebaoui I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lommel SK Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Truiden 50 / 100
Lommel SK 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Truiden Lommel SK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lommel SK has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
St. Truiden's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Lommel SK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
St. Truiden VS Lommel SK
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Truiden
(Home) 12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0 St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3 Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4 St. Truiden
27 Aug
Omonia
4 : 2 St. Truiden
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3 Royale Union SG
20 Aug
St. Truiden
1 : 0 Omonia
08 Aug
St. Truiden
1 : 1 Lommel SK
24 May
St. Truiden
3 : 0 KV Mechelen
Page 1 of 3
Lommel SK
(Away) 12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0 Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1 Club Brugge
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1 Lommel SK
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0 Westerlo
16 Aug
Lommel SK
0 : 1 Charleroi
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0 Lommel SK
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1 Lommel SK
08 Aug
St. Truiden
1 : 1 Lommel SK
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1 Lommel SK
11 Jul
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1 Lommel SK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Gent | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 16 |
| 3 | Club Brugge | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 15 |
| 5 | Waregem | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 10 |
| 8 | SK Beveren | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Genk | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 9 |
| 10 | St. Truiden | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 8 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 12 | Lommel SK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Westerlo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:16 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 4 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 16 | KV Mechelen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
| 17 | Leuven | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:13 | 1 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)
