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St. Venera vs Birzebbuga

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with St. Venera advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St. Venera
15%
Draws
0%
Birzebbuga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Venera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Birzebbuga come out ahead of St. Venera on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Venera a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Birzebbuga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Venera, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
St. Venera Clean Sheet 12%
Birzebbuga Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Venera Birzebbuga
Matches Played 14 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.52
Goals Conceded 2 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2015 FA Trophy
St. Venera vs Birzebbuga
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Venera 65 / 100
Birzebbuga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Venera Birzebbuga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Venera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birzebbuga lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: St. Venera scored in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Defensive concern: Birzebbuga conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Birzebbuga
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Venera

(Home)
06 Sept
Xaghra
2 : 0
St. Venera
27 Oct
St. Venera
0 : 3
Pembroke
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2
Kalkara
09 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 4
St. Venera
11 Sept
St. Venera
0 : 3
Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Birzebbuga

(Away)
19 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 3
Valletta
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2
Hamrun
05 Sept
Balzan FC
3 : 0
Birzebbuga
30 Aug
Birzebbuga
1 : 2
Sliema
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Nadur -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Swieqi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Oratory 5
Marsaskala FC 1
TBD -
St. Lawrence -
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Marsa -
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TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
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Xewkija -
Kirkop -
TBD -
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TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
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Mtarfa -
TBD -
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Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Hibernians -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Mosta FC -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/64-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 6
Kalkara 0
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
St. Venera 5
Xaghra 3
TBD -
Birzebbuga -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Nadur 1
Mdina 0
TBD -
Zabbar -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Gharb 0
Xbiex 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Attard 1
Oratory 0
St. Lawrence 1
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
TBD -
Luqa 0
Xewkija 4
Kirkop -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Mtarfa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Msida -
Mgarr -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 2
Munxar 0
Xghajra 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Marsaxlokk 2
Ghaxaq 1
TBD -
Zejtun -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/32-finals
Sliema -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax 0
Vittoriosa 2
St. Venera 2
Birzebbuga 1
Zurrieq 1
Gharghur 2
Gzira 6
Sirens 0
Nadur 1
Zabbar 6
Swieqi 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Floriana -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 2
St. Lawrence 4
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
Mellieha 1
Lija 2
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsa 2
Xewkija 4
Kirkop 3
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
Birkirkara -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Siggiewi 0
Fgura 3
Rabat Ajax 4
Msida 1
Mgarr 1
Melita 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 1
Ghajnsielem 2
Zebbug 4
Qrendi 1
TBD -
Tarxien -
Pieta 2
Senglea 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zejtun 1
Mqabba FC 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Hamrun 0
St. George's FC 1
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
San Gwann 1
Gudja 0
TBD -
Pembroke -
1/16-finals
Sliema 1
Vittoriosa 0
St. Venera 0
Gharghur 2
Gzira 3
Zabbar 0
Swieqi 2
St. Andrews 4
Floriana 3
St. Lawrence 0
Naxxar Lions 0
Lija 1
Valletta 3
Xewkija 1
Kirkop 0
Birkirkara 6
Balzan FC 2
Fgura 1
Rabat Ajax 1
Melita 4
Qormi 1
Ghajnsielem 0
Zebbug 1
Tarxien 4
Pieta 4
Zejtun 1
Mqabba FC 0
St. George's FC 1
Hibernians 2
Mosta FC 1
San Gwann 0
Pembroke 3
1/8-finals
Sliema 2
Gharghur 1
Gzira 1
St. Andrews 2
Floriana 2
Lija 1
Valletta 0
Birkirkara 1
Balzan FC 2
Melita 0
Qormi 1
Tarxien 4
Pieta 3
St. George's FC 2
Hibernians 1
Pembroke 2
Quarter-finals
Sliema 2
St. Andrews 1
Floriana 0
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Tarxien 0
Pieta 1
Pembroke 3
Semi-finals
Sliema 1
Birkirkara 0
Balzan FC 3
Pembroke 1
Final
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0