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Stadium Background

Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Arifagic D.
37' Event
Steinsland E.
46' Event
Norland H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Staal Jorpeland and Sandnes Ulf 2 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Staal Jorpeland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Staal Jorpeland
15%
Draws
0%
Sandnes Ulf 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Staal Jorpeland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Staal Jorpeland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Staal Jorpeland's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 13%
Sandnes Ulf 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staal Jorpeland Sandnes Ulf 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 2.33 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.27 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf 2
5:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
3:3
Sep 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
2:4
Apr 12, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf 2
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinsland E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Norland H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sandnes Ulf 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arifagic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barise H. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staal Jorpeland 84 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staal Jorpeland Sandnes Ulf 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Staal Jorpeland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staal Jorpeland scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Sandnes Ulf 2 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Sandnes Ulf 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staal Jorpeland VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Staal Jorpeland

(Home)
02 Oct
Hinna
2 : 4
Staal Jorpeland
25 Sept
Varhaug
4 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
21 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Viking 2
12 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Staal Jorpeland
05 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 2
Mandalskameratene
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Sandnes Ulf 2

(Away)
26 Oct
Viking 2
8 : 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
19 Oct
Sandnes Ulf 2
2 : 5
Vag
13 Oct
Hinna
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
06 Oct
Sandnes Ulf 2
0 : 4
Haugesund 2
28 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
5 : 2
Sandnes Ulf 2
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