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Stadium Background

Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Arifagic D.
37' Event
Steinsland E.
46' Event
Norland H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Staal Jorpeland and Sandnes Ulf 2 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Staal Jorpeland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Staal Jorpeland
6%
Draws
4%
Sandnes Ulf 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Staal Jorpeland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Staal Jorpeland carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Staal Jorpeland's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 20%
Sandnes Ulf 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staal Jorpeland Sandnes Ulf 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf 2
5:2
Jun 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
3:3
Sep 29, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
2:4
Apr 12, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf 2
0:0
Oct 13, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Sandnes Ulf 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinsland E.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Norland H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sandnes Ulf 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arifagic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barise H. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staal Jorpeland 85 / 100
Sandnes Ulf 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staal Jorpeland Sandnes Ulf 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staal Jorpeland scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sandnes Ulf 2 has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Sandnes Ulf 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staal Jorpeland VS Sandnes Ulf 2
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%