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Stadium Background

Staal Jorpeland vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Widejko B.
53' Event
Dvergsdal S.
56' Event
Auestad A.

AI Match Summary

Varhaug in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Staal Jorpeland
20%
Draws
38%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Staal Jorpeland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Varhaug haven't matched Staal Jorpeland's recent run of results.
  • Staal Jorpeland are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staal Jorpeland Varhaug
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Staal Jorpeland vs Varhaug
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Widejko B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Dvergsdal S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Auestad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staal Jorpeland 40 / 100
Varhaug 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staal Jorpeland Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staal Jorpeland scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Varhaug's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Staal Jorpeland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Staal Jorpeland VS Varhaug
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Staal Jorpeland

(Home)
25 Jun
Staal Jorpeland
1 : 1
Hinna
21 Jun
Viking 2
5 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
15 Jun
Staal Jorpeland
5 : 2
Odds BK 2
30 May
Vag
0 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
26 May
Staal Jorpeland
1 : 2
Stabaek 2
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Varhaug

(Away)
28 Jun
Varhaug
2 : 2
Odds BK 2
21 Jun
Stabaek 2
1 : 4
Varhaug
12 Jun
Varhaug
0 : 3
Viking 2
29 May
Hinna
0 : 1
Varhaug
25 May
Varhaug
0 : 1
Vag
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