Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek 2 vs Fredrikstad 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Hanstad J.
78' Event
Ferrington R.
(Penalty)
85' Event
Cedergren A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2025 game between Stabaek 2 and Fredrikstad 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stabaek 2
15%
Draws
54%
Fredrikstad 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stabaek 2 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Fredrikstad 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Fredrikstad 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.21 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Fredrikstad 2 vs Stabaek 2
2:3
Jul 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Stabaek 2 vs Fredrikstad 2
2:1
Aug 12, 2008 Division 2 - Group 1
Fredrikstad 2 vs Stabaek 2
0:1
Jun 5, 2008 Division 2 - Group 1
Stabaek 2 vs Fredrikstad 2
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cedergren A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Fredrikstad 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanstad J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 30 / 100
Fredrikstad 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Fredrikstad 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Fredrikstad 2 has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Stabaek 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
21 Sept
Odds BK 2
1 : 1
Stabaek 2
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
06 Sept
Viking 2
3 : 1
Stabaek 2
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
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Fredrikstad 2

(Away)
26 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
4 : 1
Fram
20 Oct
Pors 2
0 : 2
Fredrikstad 2
11 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
4 : 1
Oppsal
06 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 4
Fredrikstad 2
02 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
0 : 5
Odds BK 2
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