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Stabaek 2 vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cedergren A.
36' Event
Bengescu A. F.
41' Event
Ferrington R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Stabaek 2 in this Division 3 - Group 6 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Stabaek 2
11%
Draws
9%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Stabaek 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 have won more games recently than Sarpsborg 08 2.
  • Stabaek 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Stabaek 2 vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Stabaek 2
2:0
Oct 26, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Stabaek 2 vs Sarpsborg 08 2
0:4
Apr 29, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Stabaek 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cedergren A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sarpsborg 08 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bengescu A. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Norman E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 74 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Sarpsborg 08 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stabaek 2 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Stabaek 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Sarpsborg 08 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%