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Stabaek 2 vs Vag - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Lie A.
25' Event
Hoven A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Stabaek 2 and Vag finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stabaek 2
20%
Draws
52%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vag have managed 1.66 goals a game lately — Stabaek 2 are scoring more at 2.21.
  • Vag are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Vag
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.21 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Vag
2:0
Jun 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Stabaek 2
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lie A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hoven A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 23 / 100
Vag 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Vag has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Stabaek 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Vag
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Stabaek 2
4 : 1
Haugesund 2
27 Sept
Stabaek 2
1 : 2
Flekkeroy
21 Sept
Odds BK 2
1 : 1
Stabaek 2
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
06 Sept
Viking 2
3 : 1
Stabaek 2
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Vag

(Away)
03 Oct
Vag
4 : 1
Varhaug
26 Sept
Viking 2
1 : 2
Vag
19 Sept
Vag
2 : 2
Brodd
12 Sept
Haugesund 2
0 : 3
Vag
05 Sept
Vag
3 : 2
Akra
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