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Stabaek 2 vs Vag

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stabaek 2 host Vag in the Division 3 - Group 4. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Vag have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Stabaek 2 have conceded 3 and scored 2.25. Head-to-head, Stabaek 2 have won 0 to Vag's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 15, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (2.19 - 2.19) back Vag to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Stabaek 2
39%
Draws
31%
Vag
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vag come out ahead of Stabaek 2 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Vag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Vag
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 3 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Vag vs Stabaek 2
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 29 / 100
Vag 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Vag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Vag let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Stabaek 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Vag
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
25 Jul
Stabaek 2
1 : 1
Viking 2
28 Jun
Vindbjart
2 : 3
Stabaek 2
21 Jun
Stabaek 2
1 : 4
Varhaug
15 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Stabaek 2
31 May
Stabaek 2
8 : 4
Mandalskameratene
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Vag

(Away)
27 Jul
Odds BK 2
1 : 1
Vag
25 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Viking 2
21 Jun
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Vag
15 Jun
Vag
3 : 2
Stabaek 2
30 May
Vag
0 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
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