Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek U19 vs Fredrikstad U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Lie A.
47' Event
Jakobsen M.
52' Event
Ferrington R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. The second leg ended 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stabaek U19
15%
Draws
57%
Fredrikstad U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fredrikstad U19 come out ahead of Stabaek U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Stabaek U19 a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Fredrikstad U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fredrikstad U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Stabaek U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Fredrikstad U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek U19 Fredrikstad U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2.55 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stabaek U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
2:4
Jul 29, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19
2:1
Jun 26, 2021 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19
2:0
Mar 23, 2016 Junior U19
Stabaek U19 vs Fredrikstad U19
2:1
Mar 1, 2016 Junior U19
Fredrikstad U19 vs Stabaek U19
4:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrington R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.41

Fredrikstad U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansen S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jakobsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek U19 48 / 100
Fredrikstad U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek U19 Fredrikstad U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek U19 scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Fredrikstad U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Stabaek U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek U19 VS Fredrikstad U19
3.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek U19

(Home)
06 Aug
Stabaek U19
2 : 4
Fredrikstad U19
29 Jul
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 1
Stabaek U19
30 Mar
Kfum Oslo U19
1 : 4
Stabaek U19
22 Mar
Stabaek U19
2 : 1
Odds BK U19
18 Mar
Sandefjord U19
4 : 1
Stabaek U19
Page 1 of 7

Fredrikstad U19

(Away)
10 Sept
Fredrikstad U19
5 : 2
Asane U19
27 Aug
Asane U19
3 : 1
Fredrikstad U19
06 Aug
Stabaek U19
2 : 4
Fredrikstad U19
29 Jul
Fredrikstad U19
2 : 1
Stabaek U19
30 Apr
Sarpsborg 08 U19
1 : 2
Fredrikstad U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
TBD -
Haugesund U19 1
Aalesund U19 2
Tromso U19 -
TBD -
Stromsgodset U19 6
Sandnes Ulf U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 -
TBD -
Odds BK U19 4
Kfum Oslo U19 0
Rosenborg U19 -
TBD -
Molde U19 3
Moss U19 2
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 U19 1
Fredrikstad U19 2
Sandefjord U19 -
TBD -
Asane U19 4
Sogndal U19 0
Lyn U19 -
TBD -
Viking U19 4
Kristiansund U19 3
Brann U19 -
TBD -
Valerenga U19 2
Kongsvinger U19 0
1/8-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Aalesund U19 3
Tromso U19 3
Stromsgodset U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 10
Odds BK U19 3
Rosenborg U19 6
Molde U19 2
Stabaek U19 3
Fredrikstad U19 6
Sandefjord U19 3
Asane U19 9
Lyn U19 4
Viking U19 10
Brann U19 4
Valerenga U19 2
Quarter-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Tromso U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 1
Rosenborg U19 9
Fredrikstad U19 6
Asane U19 5
Viking U19 0
Brann U19 5
Semi-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
Rosenborg U19 -
Fredrikstad U19 -
Brann U19 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -