Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek vs Egersund

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Olderheim S.
Assist: Wendt W.
56' Event
Vatne S.
Assist: Jonsson I.
60'
Sub
Lundemo M. In: Tobiassen B.
Out: Lundemo M.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek in this OBOS-ligaen matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Stabaek
6%
Draws
4%
Egersund
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek lately — more wins on the board than Egersund.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Stabaek taking it.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 18%
Egersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Egersund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Egersund
3:1
Mar 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Egersund
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Stabaek
1:1
Jun 18, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Egersund
1:3
Sep 25, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Egersund vs Stabaek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Olderheim S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahlby M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Egersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Vatne S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 85 / 100
Egersund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Egersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stabaek scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Egersund conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Stabaek remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Egersund
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek

(Home)
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0
Hodd
03 Jul
Ranheim
2 : 5
Stabaek
27 Jun
Stabaek
2 : 0
Bryne
21 Jun
Strommen
1 : 0
Stabaek
14 Jun
Stabaek
3 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

Egersund

(Away)
26 Jul
Asane
3 : 3
Egersund
04 Jul
Egersund
3 : 0
Moss
27 Jun
Sogndal
4 : 2
Egersund
21 Jun
Egersund
5 : 2
Haugesund
14 Jun
Stabaek
3 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kongsvinger15103242:2233
2Haugesund15101444:2831
3Stabaek1593338:1630
4Stromsgodset1585242:2329
5Odds BK1574427:1925
6Hodd1563622:2521
7Ranheim1562736:3720
8Egersund1562727:2820
9Sandnes Ulf1562723:2620
10Bryne1562721:2420
11Sogndal1553728:3818
12Moss1552824:3417
13Raufoss1551919:3216
14Lyn1542918:3114
15Asane1542923:3313
16Strommen1533918:3612
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)