Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek W vs Roa W

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Steen J.
46'
Sub
Waehler M. In: Amlie E.
Out: Waehler M.
46'
Sub
de Lange H. In: Pallesen-Nygard S.
Out: de Lange H.

AI Match Summary

Roa W in this Toppserien Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Roa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stabaek W
20%
Draws
29%
Roa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stabaek W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek W lately — more wins on the board than Roa W.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 19%
Roa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek W Roa W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.23 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Roa W
0:1
May 20, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
1:1
Aug 5, 2025 Toppserien Women
Roa W vs Stabaek W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Roa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Steen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek W 85 / 100
Roa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek W Roa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Roa W conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Stabaek W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek W VS Roa W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek W

(Home)
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
26 Jul
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Stabaek W
28 Jun
Stabaek W
3 : 4
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

Roa W

(Away)
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
31 Aug
Roa W
1 : 3
Lyn W
21 Aug
Brann W
5 : 1
Roa W
15 Aug
Roa W
1 : 1
Molde W
20 Jun
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Roa W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 15 13 2 0 48:4 41
2 Aalesund W 15 12 1 2 37:14 37
3 Rosenborg W 15 10 3 2 27:16 33
4 Valerenga W 15 9 1 5 39:23 28
5 Stabaek W 15 7 3 5 31:15 24
6 Lyn W 15 5 4 6 26:20 19
7 Molde W 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
8 LSK Kvinner W 15 4 3 8 20:28 15
9 Haugesund W 15 4 3 8 19:37 15
10 Honefoss W 15 3 2 10 12:29 11
11 Roa W 15 2 4 9 15:34 10
12 Bodo/Glimt W 15 0 3 12 9:60 3
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)