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Stade Bordelais vs Le Mans II

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CFA - Group D 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2012/2013 game between Stade Bordelais and Le Mans II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Bordelais.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stade Bordelais
15%
Draws
34%
Le Mans II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stade Bordelais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Le Mans II come out ahead of Stade Bordelais on wins alone.
  • Model gives Stade Bordelais a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stade Bordelais Clean Sheet 16%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Bordelais Le Mans II
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Stade Bordelais vs Le Mans II
2:1
Nov 3, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Stade Bordelais
1:0
Mar 15, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Le Mans II vs Stade Bordelais
1:0
Sep 20, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Stade Bordelais vs Le Mans II
1:0
Feb 23, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Stade Bordelais
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Bordelais 48 / 100
Le Mans II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Bordelais Le Mans II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Bordelais Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stade Bordelais scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Le Mans II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Le Mans II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Bordelais VS Le Mans II
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Bordelais

(Home)
16 Aug
Panazol
1 : 0
Stade Bordelais
09 Aug
Bergerac
1 : 2
Stade Bordelais
03 Jun
GOAL FC
3 : 1
Stade Bordelais
27 May
Stade Bordelais
2 : 1
Chamalieres
13 May
Saumur Olympique
3 : 0
Stade Bordelais
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Le Mans II

(Away)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)