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Stade Gabesien vs Jendouba Sport Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Kouraichi A.
55'
Lamjed A.
61' Event
Jerbi W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Stade Gabesien in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Gabesien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Stade Gabesien
20%
Draws
51%
Jendouba Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jendouba Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Gabesien have won more games recently than Jendouba Sport.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 25%
Jendouba Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Gabesien Jendouba Sport
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Jendouba Sport
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Jun 28, 2020 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Jendouba Sport
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Ligue 2
Jendouba Sport vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Mar 23, 2008 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Gabesien vs Jendouba Sport
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Gabesien Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouraichi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jendouba Sport Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Gabesien 33 / 100
Jendouba Sport 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Gabesien Jendouba Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jendouba Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Gabesien found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Jendouba Sport has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Stade Gabesien remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stade Gabesien VS Jendouba Sport
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Gabesien

(Home)
04 Oct
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0
Moknine
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

Jendouba Sport

(Away)
04 Oct
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Ariana
27 Sept
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0
Moknine
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)