Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Malien vs Bakaridjan

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

0 - 0
FT
Bakaridjan Logo

Bakaridjan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Stade Malien and Bakaridjan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stade Malien
30%
Draws
23%
Bakaridjan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Bakaridjan haven't matched Stade Malien's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stade Malien a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
Bakaridjan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Bakaridjan
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Stade Malien
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Bakaridjan
0:0
May 24, 2025 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Stade Malien
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Bakaridjan
1:1
May 23, 2024 Premiere Division
Bakaridjan vs Stade Malien
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 59 / 100
Bakaridjan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Bakaridjan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakaridjan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Stade Malien stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Stade Malien scored in 57% of their last 37 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Bakaridjan
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 8

Bakaridjan

(Away)
14 Jun
Bakaridjan
4 : 1
US Bougouni
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Bougouba
1 : 1
Bakaridjan
25 May
Bakaridjan
0 : 3
Djoliba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)