Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Malien vs Diarra

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

2 - 0
FT
Diarra Logo

Diarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Stade Malien and Diarra finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Malien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stade Malien
20%
Draws
33%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Malien have managed 1.12 goals a game lately — Diarra are scoring more at 1.16.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
Diarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Diarra
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.12 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.55 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Stade Malien
0:2
May 16, 2026 Coupe du Mali
Stade Malien vs Diarra
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Diarra
2:0
May 15, 2025 Premiere Division
Diarra vs Stade Malien
0:3
Jan 23, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Diarra
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 41 / 100
Diarra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Stade Malien has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stade Malien scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Diarra has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Diarra
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 7

Diarra

(Away)
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Bougouba
2 : 6
Diarra
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)