Sport Picks

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Stade Malien vs Foot Elite

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Malien play Foot Elite in the Premiere Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stade Malien averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.61 conceded. Foot Elite averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Stade Malien won 2, Foot Elite won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 22, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Stade Malien and 0.69 for Foot Elite. This points to a Stade Malien double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Stade Malien
31%
Draws
22%
Foot Elite
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Stade Malien picked up more points recently compared to Foot Elite.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 28%
Foot Elite Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Foot Elite
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.22 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Foot Elite
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Premiere Division
Foot Elite vs Stade Malien
0:0
Mar 27, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Foot Elite
1:0
Feb 5, 2025 Premiere Division
Foot Elite vs Stade Malien
0:0
May 6, 2024 Premiere Division
Foot Elite vs Stade Malien
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 48 / 100
Foot Elite 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Foot Elite

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stade Malien or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stade Malien attacking → ← attacking Foot Elite

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Malien scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Foot Elite let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Stade Malien went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Foot Elite lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 28
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316