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Stade Marocain vs Fath Nador

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
(Penalty)
50' Event
(Penalty)
55' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Stade Marocain advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Stade Marocain
11%
Draws
9%
Fath Nador
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Stade Marocain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Stade Marocain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stade Marocain a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Stade Marocain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Marocain, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Stade Marocain Clean Sheet 68%
Fath Nador Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Marocain Fath Nador
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 11 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2023 Coupe du Trone
Stade Marocain vs Fath Nador
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Marocain 86 / 100
Fath Nador 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Marocain Fath Nador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fath Nador conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Fath Nador lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Stade Marocain found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Stade Marocain VS Fath Nador
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Marocain

(Home)
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
27 Jun
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Widad Temara
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
14 Jun
Stade Marocain
1 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
Page 1 of 7

Fath Nador

(Away)
16 May
Union Touarga
1 : 0
Fath Nador
10 Feb
Stade Marocain
2 : 1
Fath Nador
31 Aug
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
Fath Nador
27 Aug
Fath Nador
1 : 1
KAC Kenitra
16 Aug
Fath Nador
1 : 0
Union de Mohammedia
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Chabab Houara1
RAC Casablanca0
Renaissance Zemamra3
Kasba Tadla0
Olympique Khouribga2
Amal Tiznit1
Berkane3
Ittihad Khemisset0
Union Touarga2
FAR Rabat3
Stade Marocain2
Fath Nador1
USM Oujda1
FUS Rabat2
Olympique de Safi2
AJS Boujdour1
TAS Casablanca0
Difaa El Jadidi1
Chabab Benguerir1
Rapide Oued Zem0
Maghreb Fez0
IR Tanger2
Moghreb Tetouan0
Wydad Athletic1
FATH Casablanca2
Sale0
Chabab Mohammedia1
Mouloudia Oujda0
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem1
Hassania Agadir2
Youssoufia Berrechid0
Raja Casablanca1
1/8-finals
Chabab Houara2
Renaissance Zemamra1
Olympique Khouribga0
Berkane1
FAR Rabat3
Stade Marocain1
FUS Rabat1
Olympique de Safi0
Difaa El Jadidi2
Chabab Benguerir1
IR Tanger1
Wydad Athletic2
FATH Casablanca1
Chabab Mohammedia2
Hassania Agadir0
Raja Casablanca1
Quarter-finals
Chabab Houara1
Berkane2
FAR Rabat0
FUS Rabat1
Difaa El Jadidi1
Wydad Athletic2
Chabab Mohammedia1
Raja Casablanca2
Semi-finals
Berkane2
FUS Rabat1
Wydad Athletic0
Raja Casablanca1
Final
Berkane1
Raja Casablanca0