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Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between Stade Marocain and USM Oujda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Marocain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Stade Marocain
20%
Draws
51%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stade Marocain come out ahead of USM Oujda on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Stade Marocain Clean Sheet 68%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Marocain USM Oujda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.73 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Stade Marocain
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Botola 2
Stade Marocain vs USM Oujda
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Stade Marocain
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Stade Marocain
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Marocain 42 / 100
USM Oujda 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Marocain USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Oujda has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Stade Marocain found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Stade Marocain has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Marocain VS USM Oujda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
13% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Marocain

(Home)
06 Sept
Stade Marocain
0 : 0
RAC Casablanca
08 Jul
FAR Rabat
2 : 1
Stade Marocain
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
27 Jun
Stade Marocain
0 : 1
Widad Temara
20 Jun
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1
Stade Marocain
Page 1 of 6

USM Oujda

(Away)
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)