Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Montois vs Valence

France France

CFA - Group C 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Montois in this CFA - Group C 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Montois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Stade Montois
35%
Draws
22%
Valence
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stade Montois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Valence have won more games recently than Stade Montois.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Stade Montois Clean Sheet 12%
Valence Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Montois Valence
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 2 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 0.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Stade Montois vs Valence
4:0
Jan 11, 2014 National 1 - Group C
Valence vs Stade Montois
0:0
Apr 13, 2013 National 1 - Group C
Stade Montois vs Valence
1:0
Nov 24, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Valence vs Stade Montois
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Montois 29 / 100
Valence 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Montois Valence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Montois Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Valence conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Stade Montois went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Valence registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Montois VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Montois

(Home)
28 May
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
21 May
Nantes II
2 : 2
Stade Montois
14 May
Stade Montois
0 : 1
Colomiers
30 Apr
Andrezieux
3 : 3
Stade Montois
23 Apr
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 8

Valence

(Away)
24 May
Tarbes
1 : 0
Valence
17 May
Valence
2 : 2
Monaco II
10 May
Stade Montois
4 : 0
Valence
03 May
Valence
1 : 2
Pau
26 Apr
Valence
3 : 3
Beziers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico Marseille 28 14 8 6 48:25 78
2 Rodez 28 14 8 6 38:27 77
3 Grenoble 28 12 10 6 41:26 74
4 Hyeres 28 12 9 7 31:32 72
5 Pau 28 11 8 9 32:27 69
6 Cannes 28 9 10 9 31:30 65
7 Martigues 28 10 7 11 30:29 65
8 Monaco II 28 9 9 10 43:42 64
9 Beziers 28 7 14 7 35:32 63
10 Marignane GCB 28 10 5 13 29:35 63
11 Nice II 28 8 10 10 34:38 62
12 Pontet 28 9 6 13 23:36 60
13 Tarbes 28 7 10 11 24:35 59
14 Valence 28 6 12 10 26:34 58
15 Stade Montois 28 6 6 16 29:46 52
16 Calvi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - National 2014/2015 (Main)