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Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ryter Y.
9'
Regillo M.
46'
Sub
Lentini F. In: Londja R.
Out: Lentini F.

AI Match Summary

Rapperswil-Jona in this Challenge League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rapperswil-Jona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stade Nyonnais
30%
Draws
34%
Rapperswil-Jona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Nyonnais

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rapperswil-Jona have won more games recently than Stade Nyonnais.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Stade Nyonnais taking it.
  • Regular Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 20%
Rapperswil-Jona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Rapperswil-Jona
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 3 12
Draws 10 2
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:2
May 15, 2026 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Nyonnais
2:1
Mar 20, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Challenge League
Rapperswil-Jona vs Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Rapperswil-Jona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Top Goalscorer Fankhauser S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rapperswil-Jona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryter Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 36 / 100
Rapperswil-Jona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Rapperswil-Jona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapperswil-Jona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Stade Nyonnais scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stade Nyonnais stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Rapperswil-Jona
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
24 Jul
Lausanne Ouchy
2 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
11 Jul
Bulle
4 : 4
Stade Nyonnais
04 Jul
Servette
1 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
15 May
Rapperswil-Jona
2 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
11 May
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

Rapperswil-Jona

(Away)
24 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
4 : 5
Wil
17 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
3 : 1
Cham
04 Jul
Lugano
1 : 1
Rapperswil-Jona
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
24 Jun
Freienbach
1 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etoile-Carouge11003:03
2Lausanne Ouchy11002:03
3Wil11005:43
4Xamax11003:23
5Winterthur10102:21
6Yverdon10102:21
7Rapperswil-Jona10014:50
8Kriens10012:30
9Stade Nyonnais10010:20
10Aarau10010:30
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)