Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax

Switzerland Switzerland

Challenge League Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Abedini E.
Assist: Carraco D.
33' Event
Bergsma L.
Own Goal
40'
Sub
Abedini E. In: Bayard R.
Out: Abedini E.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League game between Stade Nyonnais and Xamax finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xamax.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Stade Nyonnais
20%
Draws
48%
Xamax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Xamax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Xamax come out ahead of Stade Nyonnais on wins alone.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Stade Nyonnais Clean Sheet 14%
Xamax Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Nyonnais Xamax
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 2 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.54
Goals Conceded 2 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
1:3
Apr 10, 2026 Challenge League
Xamax vs Stade Nyonnais
4:1
Mar 6, 2026 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
0:0
Dec 19, 2025 Challenge League
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Swiss Cup
Stade Nyonnais vs Xamax
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Nyonnais Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Xamax Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrose P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abedini E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Nyonnais 35 / 100
Xamax 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Nyonnais Xamax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xamax Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xamax has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Stade Nyonnais's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Xamax lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Nyonnais VS Xamax
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Nyonnais

(Home)
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
06 Sept
Yverdon
4 : 1
Stade Nyonnais
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2
Winterthur
28 Aug
Kriens
3 : 0
Stade Nyonnais
21 Aug
Stade Nyonnais
0 : 0
Etoile-Carouge
Page 1 of 6

Xamax

(Away)
11 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
1 : 3
Xamax
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0
Xamax
01 Sept
Xamax
1 : 2
Yverdon
28 Aug
Aarau
2 : 1
Xamax
21 Aug
Xamax
1 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lausanne Ouchy 8 6 2 0 17:3 20
2 Winterthur 8 4 3 1 17:7 15
3 Yverdon 8 4 3 1 14:9 15
4 Aarau 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
5 Xamax 8 4 0 4 12:14 12
6 Kriens 8 3 2 3 12:10 11
7 Etoile-Carouge 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
8 Rapperswil-Jona 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
9 Wil 8 1 3 4 10:21 6
10 Stade Nyonnais 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)