Sport Picks
Stade Poitevin vs Saint-Malo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Burban J.
37'
37'
Franco L.
59'
59'
Burban J.
AI Match Summary
The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Stade Poitevin and Saint-Malo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saint-Malo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Saint-Malo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Saint-Malo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Saint-Malo a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Saint-Malo have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Stade Poitevin Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Poitevin | Saint-Malo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Stade Poitevin vs Saint-Malo
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Stade Poitevin
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Saint-Malo vs Stade Poitevin
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Stade Poitevin vs Saint-Malo
2:3
Nov 16, 2013 Coupe de France
Stade Poitevin vs Saint-Malo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Poitevin Compare
Top Goalscorer Franco L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Saint-Malo Compare
Top Goalscorer Burban J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Poitevin 21 / 100
Saint-Malo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Poitevin Saint-Malo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Saint-Malo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Stade Poitevin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Stade Poitevin scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Stade Poitevin VS Saint-Malo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Poitevin
(Home) 16 May
Lorient II
1 : 1 Stade Poitevin
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1 St. Colomban Locmine
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1 Stade Poitevin
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
18 Apr
Granville
1 : 1 Stade Poitevin
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Stade Poitevin
1 : 1 St. Colomban Locmine
25 Apr
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
03 Apr
Stade Poitevin
1 : 2 Saint-Malo
22 Mar
Stade Poitevin
0 : 0 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
18 Mar
Stade Poitevin
0 : 2 Bayonne
Page 1 of 3
Saint-Malo
(Away) 03 Oct
Saint-Malo
2 : 1 Saumur Olympique
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0 Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0 St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0 Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4 Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0 Saint-Malo
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4 Saint-Malo
16 May
Montlouis
2 : 2 Saint-Malo
02 May
Lorient II
3 : 0 Saint-Malo
17 Apr
Chauray
0 : 1 Saint-Malo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 61:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Bordeaux | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 51:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Bayonne | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 42:27 | 55 |
| 4 | Saint-Malo | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:29 | 50 |
| 5 | Les Herbiers | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 45:33 | 49 |
| 6 | Angouleme CFC | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Dinan | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:45 | 41 |
| 8 | Avranches | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:41 | 40 |
| 9 | Chauray | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 10 | St. Colomban Locmine | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Montlouis | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 42:50 | 31 |
| 12 | Lorient II | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:51 | 31 |
| 13 | Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 25:47 | 30 |
| 14 | Granville | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 29 |
| 15 | Saumur Olympique | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 37:56 | 28 |
| 16 | Stade Poitevin | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 21:43 | 25 |
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)
