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Stade Soussien vs BS Bouhajla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Soussien host BS Bouhajla in the Ligue 2. BS Bouhajla are expected to control this from the start. Stade Soussien have averaged 1.67 scored and 2.33 conceded recently, against BS Bouhajla's 0.94 scored and 0.97 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.25, favoring BS Bouhajla. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Stade Soussien
35%
Draws
49%
BS Bouhajla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BS Bouhajla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • BS Bouhajla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Stade Soussien Clean Sheet 19%
BS Bouhajla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Soussien BS Bouhajla
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 0 10
Draws 1 10
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.67 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Soussien 31 / 100
BS Bouhajla 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Soussien BS Bouhajla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Soussien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Soussien scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

BS Bouhajla let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Stade Soussien went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

BS Bouhajla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Soussien VS BS Bouhajla
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Soussien

(Home)
03 Oct
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Stade Soussien
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
26 Aug
Ksour Essef
4 : 3
Stade Soussien

BS Bouhajla

(Away)
04 Oct
BS Bouhajla
0 : 0
Soliman
26 Sept
ES Beni-Khalled
1 : 2
BS Bouhajla
21 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 3
Esperance Tunis
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EM Mahdia 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Soliman 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Megrine 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Msaken 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Sfax Railways 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 BS Bouhajla 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sporting Ben Arous 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
8 US Tataouine 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
9 ES Beni-Khalled 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Stade Soussien 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 AS Gabes 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Chebba 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 AS Agareb 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
14 Kerkennah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redeyef 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kasserine 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
3 JS Kairouan 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Ksour Essef 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 Korba 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
6 Kalaa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Jendouba Sport 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Bouchamma 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
9 Stade Gabesien 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
10 Ariana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
11 Olympique Kef 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Moknine 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
13 CO Medenine 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
14 Gafsa 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)