Sport Picks
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo 
Match Events
43'
43'
Khedher N.
46'
46'
Sub
Idriss M. In: Boulila A.
Out: Idriss M.
46'
46'
Sub
Haboubi A. In: Camara B.
Out: Haboubi A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Stade Tunisien and AS Gabes finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Tunisien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Tunisien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Stade Tunisien carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Stade Tunisien's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Stade Tunisien have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 68%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Tunisien | AS Gabes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
4:0
Feb 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Stade Tunisien
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
2:1
Apr 21, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs AS Gabes
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Tunisien Compare
Top Goalscorer N'Diaye A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Riahi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
AS Gabes Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Tunisien 95 / 100
AS Gabes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Tunisien AS Gabes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AS Gabes conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
AS Gabes's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Stade Tunisien went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stade Tunisien VS AS Gabes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Tunisien
(Home) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
29 Apr
Stade Tunisien
1 : 2 Jeunesse Sportive
11 Apr
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CA Bizertin
08 Mar
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 3
AS Gabes
(Away) 26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2 Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2 JS Kairouan
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0 AS Gabes
29 Apr
Monastir
2 : 0 AS Gabes
05 Apr
Club Africain
2 : 0 AS Gabes
22 Mar
Metlaoui
5 : 2 AS Gabes
01 Mar
CS Sfaxien
1 : 0 AS Gabes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
