Sport Picks
Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Sahel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo 
Match Events
16'
16'
Camara B.
87'
87'
Smichi N.
Assist: Ben Seghaier M.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Stade Tunisien and Etoile Sahel finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Tunisien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Stade Tunisien haven't matched Etoile Sahel's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Stade Tunisien taking it.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Stade Tunisien Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Tunisien | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Sahel
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Stade Tunisien
1:1
May 18, 2025 Tunisia Cup
Etoile Sahel vs Stade Tunisien
0:1
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Sahel
1:3
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Stade Tunisien
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Tunisien Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Etoile Sahel Compare
Top Goalscorer Smichi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Tunisien 77 / 100
Etoile Sahel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Tunisien Etoile Sahel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Tunisien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Stade Tunisien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Difficult form: Etoile Sahel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Stade Tunisien scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Stade Tunisien VS Etoile Sahel
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Tunisien
(Home) 12 Sept
Hamam-Sousse
1 : 3 Stade Tunisien
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1 Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Stade Tunisien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
29 Apr
Stade Tunisien
1 : 2 Jeunesse Sportive
11 Apr
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CA Bizertin
08 Mar
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 3
Etoile Sahel
(Away) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
