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Stadeln vs Aschaffenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stadeln host Aschaffenburg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Stadeln have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Aschaffenburg's 1.48 scored and 1.79 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.75, favoring Aschaffenburg. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Stadeln
20%
Draws
36%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stadeln

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Stadeln have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Aschaffenburg are scoring more at 1.48.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stadeln Clean Sheet 12%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stadeln Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stadeln 35 / 100
Aschaffenburg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stadeln Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stadeln found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Aschaffenburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Stadeln went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Aschaffenburg has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stadeln VS Aschaffenburg
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stadeln

(Home)
03 Oct
Stadeln
1 : 0
Gebenbach
26 Sept
Stadeln
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
05 Sept
Bayern Hof
2 : 1
Stadeln
Page 1 of 6

Aschaffenburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cham 13 11 1 1 30:8 34
2 Wurzburger FV 13 8 2 3 25:16 26
3 Gebenbach 13 8 2 3 22:13 26
4 Bamberg 13 7 3 3 22:11 24
5 Regensburg II 13 6 4 3 28:22 22
6 TSV Kornburg 13 5 6 2 23:13 21
7 Fortuna Regensburg 13 6 3 4 31:21 21
8 Bayern Hof 13 5 5 3 26:21 20
9 Stadeln 13 5 4 4 17:20 19
10 Aschaffenburg 13 5 3 5 25:20 18
11 Neudrossenfeld 13 5 1 7 16:22 16
12 DJK Ammerthal 13 4 2 7 16:25 14
13 Ingolstadt II 13 3 4 6 20:26 13
14 Weiden 13 3 3 7 20:29 12
15 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 13 2 5 6 13:27 11
16 Grossbardorf 13 3 1 9 12:25 10
17 Nordlingen 13 2 4 7 12:26 10
18 ASV Neumarkt 13 1 3 9 10:23 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)