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Staines vs Poole Town

England England

Southern League South Division 2018/2019 Wheatsheaf Park, Staines
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Brooks M.
28' Event
Brooks M.
34' Event
Constable J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League South Division 2018/2019 game between Staines and Poole Town finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Staines
15%
Draws
48%
Poole Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Staines haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Poole Town a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Staines Clean Sheet 18%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staines Poole Town
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.58
Goals Conceded 4.33 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Staines vs Poole Town
0:7
Sep 1, 2018 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Staines
0:2
Dec 2, 2014 FA Trophy
Poole Town vs Staines
2:1
Nov 29, 2014 FA Trophy
Staines vs Poole Town
3:3
Oct 29, 2013 FA Cup
Poole Town vs Staines
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staines Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Brooks M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grange A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staines 15 / 100
Poole Town 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staines Poole Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Staines scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Poole Town conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Staines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Poole Town
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Staines

(Home)
13 Nov
Brentwood
4 : 1
Staines
02 Nov
Staines
1 : 0
Brightlingsea
09 Oct
Staines
3 : 1
Three Bridges
29 Jul
Staines
0 : 6
Maidenhead
03 Jul
Staines
1 : 1
Farnborough
Page 1 of 6

Poole Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1
Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Poole Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1
Yate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weymouth 42 25 11 6 96:51 86
2 Taunton Town 42 26 7 9 89:56 85
3 Metropolitan Police 42 22 12 8 91:64 78
4 Salisbury 42 22 11 9 97:69 77
5 Poole Town 42 20 10 12 84:59 70
6 Kings Langley 42 21 6 15 65:61 69
7 Harrow Borough 42 18 9 15 97:77 63
8 Hartley Wintney 42 17 12 13 82:70 63
9 Farnborough 42 18 8 16 72:72 62
10 Chesham 42 15 14 13 54:55 59
11 Swindon Supermarine 42 16 10 16 70:59 58
12 Beaconsfield Town 42 15 13 14 65:65 58
13 Merthyr Town 42 15 9 18 68:67 54
14 Wimborne 42 15 7 20 72:75 52
15 Dorchester 42 14 10 18 67:75 52
16 Hendon 42 14 10 18 64:74 52
17 Walton Casuals 42 14 9 19 69:78 51
18 Tiverton 42 13 12 17 65:75 51
19 Gosport Borough 42 15 5 22 63:70 50
20 Basingstoke 42 14 7 21 81:82 49
21 Frome Town 42 11 4 27 45:74 37
22 Staines 42 4 0 38 40:168 12
Promotion - Southern League South Division 2018/2019 (Play Offs)