Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Jasien vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kruppa R.
42' Event
Volk P.
62' Event
Kyziol I.

AI Match Summary

Carina Gubin in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carina Gubin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stal Jasien
6%
Draws
90%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Carina Gubin lately — more wins on the board than Stal Jasien.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Carina Gubin taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Stal Jasien Clean Sheet 10%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Jasien Carina Gubin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 28 12
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Stal Jasien
3:0
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Stal Jasien vs Carina Gubin
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Jasien Compare

Top Goalscorer Volk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Carina Gubin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kruppa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kyziol I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Jasien 10 / 100
Carina Gubin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Jasien Carina Gubin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carina Gubin conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Stal Jasien found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Carina Gubin's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Jasien VS Carina Gubin
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057