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Stal Jasien vs Goczalkowice Zdroj

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
0 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stal Jasien host Goczalkowice Zdroj in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Goczalkowice Zdroj are expected to control this from the start. Stal Jasien have averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Goczalkowice Zdroj's 1.75 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Stal Jasien have won 0 to Goczalkowice Zdroj's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.54 - 2.38) back Goczalkowice Zdroj to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Stal Jasien
6%
Draws
90%
Goczalkowice Zdroj
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Goczalkowice Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goczalkowice Zdroj come out ahead of Stal Jasien on wins alone.
  • Model gives Goczalkowice Zdroj a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Stal Jasien Clean Sheet 10%
Goczalkowice Zdroj Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Jasien Goczalkowice Zdroj
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 28 13
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Stal Jasien vs Goczalkowice Zdroj
0:3
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Stal Jasien
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Jasien 10 / 100
Goczalkowice Zdroj 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Jasien Goczalkowice Zdroj

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Goczalkowice Zdroj has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Stal Jasien scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Goczalkowice Zdroj lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stal Jasien VS Goczalkowice Zdroj
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057