Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026

Pniowek Pawlowice

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stal Jasien host Pniowek Pawlowice in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Stal Jasien at 0 goals for, 3 against; Pniowek Pawlowice at 0.38 for, 3 against. Head-to-head, Stal Jasien have won 1 to Pniowek Pawlowice's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 2.10 vs 1.69, favoring Pniowek Pawlowice. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Stal Jasien

39%

Draws

31%

Pniowek Pawlowice

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pniowek Pawlowice come out ahead of Stal Jasien on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

Stal Jasien Clean Sheet 13%

Pniowek Pawlowice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stal Jasien	Pniowek Pawlowice
Matches Played	30	26
Wins	1	3
Draws	1	2
Losses	28	21
Goals Scored	0	0.38
Goals Conceded	3	3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group III

Stal Jasien vs Pniowek Pawlowice

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group III

Pniowek Pawlowice vs Stal Jasien

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Jasien 30 / 100

Pniowek Pawlowice 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stal Jasien Pniowek Pawlowice

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pniowek Pawlowice conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Pniowek Pawlowice's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Stal Jasien found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Stal Jasien VS Pniowek Pawlowice

0 Goals Scored 0.38

3 Goals Conceded 3

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zielona Gora	34	21	10	3	77:17	73
2	Polkowice	34	20	7	7	64:42	67
3	BKS Sparta Katowice	34	18	8	8	53:34	62
4	Skra Czestochowa	34	17	8	9	68:56	59
5	Zaglebie II	34	17	6	11	77:61	57
6	Goczalkowice Zdroj	34	15	9	10	49:46	54
7	Kluczbork	34	15	7	12	67:43	52
8	Warta Gorzow	34	15	7	12	54:47	52
9	Gornik Zabrze II	34	15	6	13	73:44	51
10	Sleza Wroclaw	34	14	7	13	49:57	49
11	Woliborz	34	13	9	12	48:49	48
12	Carina Gubin	34	12	11	11	50:51	47
13	Legnica II	34	13	7	14	63:58	46
14	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora	34	12	9	13	57:56	45
15	Polonia Nysa	34	9	10	15	51:58	37
16	Starowice Dolne	34	7	6	21	33:81	27
17	Pniowek Pawlowice	34	5	4	25	28:77	19
18	Stal Jasien	34	2	1	31	21:105	7