Sport Picks

Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010

Olkom Melitopol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stal Kamianske play Olkom Melitopol in the Druha Liga 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Stal Kamianske averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Olkom Melitopol averaged 1 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Stal Kamianske won 3, Olkom Melitopol won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 23, 2010 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Stal Kamianske and 1.19 for Olkom Melitopol. This points to a Stal Kamianske double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Stal Kamianske

17%

Draws

41%

Olkom Melitopol

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Stal Kamianske

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Stal Kamianske picked up more points recently compared to Olkom Melitopol.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Stal Kamianske Clean Sheet 20%

Olkom Melitopol Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stal Kamianske	Olkom Melitopol
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	10	4
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	0.8	1
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2010 Druha Liga

Olkom Melitopol vs Stal Kamianske

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Aug 7, 2010 Druha Liga

Stal Kamianske vs Olkom Melitopol

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

May 23, 2010 Druha Liga

Stal Kamianske vs Olkom Melitopol

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Oct 10, 2009 Druha Liga

Olkom Melitopol vs Stal Kamianske

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Kamianske 42 / 100

Olkom Melitopol 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stal Kamianske Olkom Melitopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Stal Kamianske or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Stal Kamianske attacking → ← attacking Olkom Melitopol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Kamianske scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

Olkom Melitopol let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Stal Kamianske went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olkom Melitopol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 25

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bukovyna	20	15	3	2	35:12	48
2	Nyva Vinnytsya	20	12	4	4	43:16	40
3	Bastion Illichivsk	20	11	7	2	44:20	40
4	MFK Mykolaiv	20	11	6	3	30:13	39
5	FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi	20	10	3	7	28:16	33
6	Yednist	20	8	5	7	22:21	29
7	FC Ros Bila Tserkva	20	6	3	11	18:30	21
8	Lviv 2	20	4	7	9	13:25	19
9	Veres Rivne	20	4	4	12	16:41	16
10	Karpaty Lviv 2	20	5	1	14	17:43	16
11	Skala Stryj	20	1	3	16	11:40	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Titan A.	26	21	3	2	50:20	66
2	Kremin	26	15	9	2	41:21	54
3	SC Poltava	26	16	6	4	34:16	54
4	Stal Kamianske	26	15	6	5	38:23	51
5	Olimpik Donetsk	26	15	4	7	45:28	49
6	Shakhter Sverdlovsk	26	13	7	6	26:15	46
7	Shakhtar 3	26	10	6	10	33:29	36
8	Sumy	26	10	6	10	32:34	36
9	Kryvbas Krivoy Rog	26	8	4	14	29:43	28
10	Olkom Melitopol	26	7	5	14	31:42	26
11	Hirnyk-Sport	26	5	7	14	21:35	22
12	FC Mariupol II	26	4	3	19	16:40	15
13	FC Dnipro 75	26	4	5	17	19:21	14
14	SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 2	26	3	1	22	18:66	10