Sport Picks
Stal Krasnik vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
63'
63'
Majewski M.
AI Match Summary
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Stal Krasnik haven't matched Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's recent run of results.
- Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stal Krasnik | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.60 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Stal Krasnik
2:2
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Stal Krasnik
1:1
Jun 6, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:2
Feb 4, 2021 Club Friendly
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Stal Krasnik
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stal Krasnik Compare
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare
Top Goalscorer Majewski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stal Krasnik 76 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stal Krasnik Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Krasnik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Stal Krasnik's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Stal Krasnik VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1.8 Goals Scored 1.5
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Stal Krasnik
(Home) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
01 May
Stal Krasnik
3 : 1 Wisloka Debica
19 Apr
Stal Krasnik
0 : 1 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
02 Apr
Stal Krasnik
1 : 2 Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 3
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
(Away) 22 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
7 : 1 Bochnia
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
11 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
01 Jul
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
6 : 0 Star Starachowice
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 7
17 Jul
Polonia Bytom
4 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
09 Jun
R. Rzeszow
3 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
23 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
13 May
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
02 May
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1 : 2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
