Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stal Krasnik vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Dudchenko Y.
89' Event
Dudchenko Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Stal Krasnik
6%
Draws
4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stal Krasnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stal Krasnik lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Krasnik Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 16 27
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Stal Krasnik
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Krasnik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudchenko Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Krasnik 85 / 100
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Krasnik Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Stal Krasnik has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Krasnik VS Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Krasnik

(Home)
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3
Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0
Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1
Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2
Stal Krasnik
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Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

(Away)
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5
Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)