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Stal Mielec vs Podhale Nowy Targ

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kurzeja B.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Lipien M.
44' Event
Mikolajczyk B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Stal Mielec and Podhale Nowy Targ finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podhale Nowy Targ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Stal Mielec
15%
Draws
78%
Podhale Nowy Targ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Stal Mielec haven't matched Podhale Nowy Targ's recent run of results.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Podhale Nowy Targ taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 10%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stal Mielec Podhale Nowy Targ
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.83 2
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Stal Mielec vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipien M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikolajczyk B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100
Podhale Nowy Targ 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stal Mielec Podhale Nowy Targ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Podhale Nowy Targ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Mielec scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Podhale Nowy Targ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Stal Mielec has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Podhale Nowy Targ
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)
19 Sept
Lechia Gdansk
7 : 1
Stal Mielec
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
02 Sept
Leczna
4 : 3
Stal Mielec
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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Podhale Nowy Targ

(Away)
19 Sept
Legia II
3 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
12 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
5 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
05 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
3 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Ol. Grudziadz
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
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