Sport Picks

Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu, Mielec

Stal Mielec

1 - 2

Puszcza

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Niedzwiedz N.

25'

Kanach R.

39'

Basse A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Puszcza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Stal Mielec

15%

Draws

73%

Puszcza

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Puszcza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Puszcza come out ahead of Stal Mielec on wins alone.
Win probability leans Puszcza's way, sitting at 90%.
Puszcza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Puszcza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Stal Mielec Clean Sheet 11%

Puszcza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stal Mielec	Puszcza
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	12
Draws	5	3
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.86	1.24
Goals Conceded	2.07	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza

1:4

May 9, 2026 Division 1

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza

1:1

Nov 5, 2025 Division 1

Puszcza vs Stal Mielec

1:1

Sep 23, 2025 Polish Cup

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza

1:2

May 12, 2025 Ekstraklasa

Puszcza vs Stal Mielec

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stal Mielec Compare

Top Goalscorer Niedzwiedz N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Puszcza Compare

Top Goalscorer Basse A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Korczakowski O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.65

Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stal Mielec 10 / 100

Puszcza 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stal Mielec Puszcza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puszcza Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stal Mielec scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Puszcza has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Puszcza's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stal Mielec VS Puszcza

1.75 Goals Scored 1.25

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

(Home)

19 Sept

Lechia Gdansk

7 : 1

Stal Mielec

14 Sept

Stal Mielec

1 : 2

Termalica Bruk-Bet

05 Sept

Stal Mielec

1 : 1

Odra Opole

02 Sept

Leczna

4 : 3

Stal Mielec

29 Aug

Pogon Siedlce

2 : 0

Stal Mielec

Page 1 of 6

Puszcza

(Away)

02 Oct

KS Wieczysta Krakow

4 : 3

Puszcza

18 Sept

Warta Poznan

3 : 2

Puszcza

11 Sept

Puszcza

1 : 2

LKS Lodz

01 Sept

Plock II

0 : 2

Puszcza

29 Aug

Puszcza

2 : 0

Podbeskidzie

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Zawisza -

TBD -

Tychy -

GKS Wikielec -

TBD -

Podbeskidzie 2

R. Rzeszow 1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg -

TBD -

Hutnik Krakow 3

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0

Bytom Odrzanski -

TBD -

Wisla -

Beskid Andrychow -

TBD -

Chojniczanka 2

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1

Legnica II -

TBD -

Swit Szczecin 2

LKS Lodz II 1

Malapanew Ozimek -

TBD -

Pruszkow -

S. Rzeszow -

TBD -

Korona Kielce -

LKS Lomza -

TBD -

Odra Opole -

Korona Kielce II -

TBD -

Piast Gliwice -

Gryf Slupsk -

TBD -

Polonia Warszawa -

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Stal Mielec -

TBD -

Puszcza -

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3

Wisla Pulawy 0

TBD -

Lechia Gdansk -

Arka Gdynia -

TBD -

Motor Lublin -

Legia II -

TBD -

Gornik Zabrze -

Avia Swidnik -

TBD -

Ruch Chorzow -

Swinoujscie -

TBD -

KKS Kalisz 0

GKS Jastrzebie 2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II -

TBD -

Stal Stalowa Wola 3

Skra Czestochowa 1

Warta Poznan 1

Olimpia Elblag 0

Polonia Bytom 7

Zaglebie II 1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -

TBD -

KS Wieczysta Krakow 0

Ol. Grudziadz 1

Tomaszow Mazowiecki -

TBD -

Slask Wroclaw -

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Leczna -

TBD -

Cracovia -

LKS Lodz -

TBD -

Chrobry Glogow -

GKS Katowice -

TBD -

Wisla Plock -

Legnica -

TBD -

Pogon Siedlce -

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Legia -

TBD -

Kotwica Kolobrzeg -

TBD -

Pogon Szczecin -

Termalica Bruk-Bet -

TBD -

Widzew Lodz -

Radomiak Radom -

TBD -

Zaglebie -

1/32-finals

Zawisza 2

Tychy 0

GKS Wikielec 2

Podbeskidzie 1

Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0

Hutnik Krakow 1

Bytom Odrzanski 0

Wisla 1

Beskid Andrychow 0

Chojniczanka 3

Legnica II 1

Swit Szczecin 3

Malapanew Ozimek 1

Pruszkow 2

S. Rzeszow 0

Korona Kielce 1

LKS Lomza 0

Odra Opole 2

Korona Kielce II 0

Piast Gliwice 1

Gryf Slupsk 1

Polonia Warszawa 0

TBD -

Lech Poznan -

Stal Mielec 1

Puszcza 2

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0

Lechia Gdansk 1

Arka Gdynia 1

Motor Lublin 0

Legia II 0

Gornik Zabrze 3

Avia Swidnik 3

Ruch Chorzow 1

Swinoujscie 3

GKS Jastrzebie 2

Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3

Stal Stalowa Wola 1

Warta Poznan 0

Polonia Bytom 1

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1

Ol. Grudziadz 3

Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1

Slask Wroclaw 2

Rakow Czestochowa -

TBD -

Leczna 1

Cracovia 5

LKS Lodz 5

Chrobry Glogow 3

GKS Katowice 4

Wisla Plock 2

Legnica 2

Pogon Siedlce 0

TBD -

Jagiellonia -

Legia -

TBD -

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0

Pogon Szczecin 3

Termalica Bruk-Bet 2

Widzew Lodz 3

Radomiak Radom 0

Zaglebie 2

1/16-finals

Zawisza 3

GKS Wikielec 0

Hutnik Krakow 0

Wisla 1

Chojniczanka 3

Swit Szczecin 1

Pruszkow 0

Korona Kielce 3

Odra Opole 0

Piast Gliwice 2

Gryf Slupsk 1

Lech Poznan 2

Puszcza 1

Lechia Gdansk 3

Arka Gdynia 1

Gornik Zabrze 2

Avia Swidnik 3

Swinoujscie 0

Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0

Polonia Bytom 7

Ol. Grudziadz 0

Slask Wroclaw 1

Rakow Czestochowa 3

Cracovia 0

LKS Lodz 1

GKS Katowice 2

Legnica 2

Jagiellonia 3

Legia 1

Pogon Szczecin 2

Widzew Lodz 1

Zaglebie 0

1/8-finals

Zawisza 4

Wisla 1

Chojniczanka 2

Korona Kielce 1

Piast Gliwice 0

Lech Poznan 2

Lechia Gdansk 1

Gornik Zabrze 3

Avia Swidnik 4

Polonia Bytom 2

Slask Wroclaw 1

Rakow Czestochowa 2

GKS Katowice 3

Jagiellonia 1

Pogon Szczecin 0

Widzew Lodz 1

Quarter-finals

Zawisza 2

Chojniczanka 1

Lech Poznan 0

Gornik Zabrze 1

Avia Swidnik 1

Rakow Czestochowa 2

GKS Katowice 2

Widzew Lodz 1

Semi-finals

Zawisza 0

Gornik Zabrze 1

Rakow Czestochowa 5

GKS Katowice 4

Final

Gornik Zabrze 2

Rakow Czestochowa 0

Stal Mielec vs Puszcza

Poland

Stal Mielec

Puszcza

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Stal Mielec Compare

Puszcza Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Stal Mielec

Puszcza

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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