Sport Picks

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Stamford vs Bury Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Canfer O.

AI Match Summary

Bury Town in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Stamford
15%
Draws
85%
Bury Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bury Town lately — more wins on the board than Stamford.
  • Bury Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bury Town here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Stamford Clean Sheet 13%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stamford Bury Town
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Bury Town
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Stamford
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stamford vs Bury Town
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stamford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Canfer O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stamford 10 / 100
Bury Town 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stamford Bury Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Stamford's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Stamford VS Bury Town
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stamford

(Home)
31 Aug
Kettering
5 : 0
Stamford
29 Aug
Stamford
0 : 3
Rushall
22 Aug
Worcester
1 : 0
Stamford
15 Aug
Stamford
1 : 2
Racing Club Warwick
11 Aug
Stamford
0 : 1
Bury Town
Page 1 of 6

Bury Town

(Away)
31 Aug
Bury Town
4 : 3
Leiston
29 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 3
Bury Town
22 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 0
Leamington
15 Aug
Stratford
1 : 3
Bury Town
11 Aug
Stamford
0 : 1
Bury Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 6 6 0 0 20:6 18
2 Bury Town 6 6 0 0 15:6 18
3 Alvechurch 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
4 Bromsgrove 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Kettering 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
6 Rushall 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
7 Anstey Nomads 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
8 Leiston 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
9 Stourbridge 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
10 Needham Market 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
11 Redditch 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
12 Peterborough Sports 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
13 Racing Club Warwick 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
14 Halesowen 5 2 0 3 3:6 6
15 Leighton Town 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
16 Worcester 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Leamington 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
18 Banbury 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
19 Stortford 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
20 Hitchin 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
21 Stratford 6 0 3 3 4:12 3
22 Stamford 6 0 0 6 1:14 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)