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Standard Sumqayit vs Turan

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan Cup 2009/2010 ASK Arena, Baku
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Standard Sumqayit advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Standard Sumqayit
6%
Draws
4%
Turan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Standard Sumqayit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turan come out ahead of Standard Sumqayit on wins alone.
  • Standard Sumqayit are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Turan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Turan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Standard Sumqayit Clean Sheet 20%
Turan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Standard Sumqayit Turan
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 8 21
Draws 6 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2010 Premier League
Turan vs Standard Sumqayit
0:0
Mar 20, 2010 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Turan
2:3
Feb 17, 2010 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Turan
1:1
Nov 11, 2009 Azerbaijan Cup
Turan vs Standard Sumqayit
0:0
Nov 8, 2009 Premier League
Turan vs Standard Sumqayit
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Standard Sumqayit 85 / 100
Turan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Standard Sumqayit Turan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Standard Sumqayit found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Standard Sumqayit remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Turan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Turan
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Standard Sumqayit

(Home)
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 4
Standard Sumqayit
09 May
Standard Sumqayit
6 : 0
Karvan
01 May
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 2
Salyan
23 Apr
Turan
0 : 0
Standard Sumqayit
18 Apr
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 1
Shuvalan
Page 1 of 6

Turan

(Away)
22 May
Turan
1 : 2
Sabah Baku
16 May
Shamakhi
3 : 2
Turan
10 May
Turan
1 : 0
Karvan
04 May
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 1
Turan
27 Apr
Turan
1 : 1
Zira FK
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
FK Baku-
TBD-
Imisli FK2
Bakili Baku5
Turan-
TBD-
TBD-
Standard Sumqayit-
Neftci Baku-
TBD-
MOIK Baku2
Lokbatan3
Karvan-
TBD-
TBD-
Shamakhi-
Shuvalan-
TBD-
TBD-
Gabala-
Kapaz3
Ravan1
TBD-
Zaqatala PFK-
Qarabag Agdam-
TBD-
ANSAD Neftcala3
Sahdag Qusar4
Salyan-
TBD-
TBD-
Khazar Lenkoran-
1/8-finals
FK Baku6
Bakili Baku0
Turan1
Standard Sumqayit3
Neftci Baku7
Lokbatan0
Karvan2
Shamakhi7
Shuvalan2
Gabala1
Kapaz0
Zaqatala PFK3
Qarabag Agdam4
Sahdag Qusar0
Salyan1
Khazar Lenkoran4
Quarter-finals
FK Baku4
Standard Sumqayit2
Neftci Baku1
Shamakhi5
Shuvalan1
Zaqatala PFK0
Qarabag Agdam2
Khazar Lenkoran2
Semi-finals
FK Baku3
Shamakhi2
Shuvalan2
Khazar Lenkoran3
Final
FK Baku2
Khazar Lenkoran1