Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
19'
19'
Urbanski P.
80'
80'
Nojszewski D.
Own Goal
88'
88'
Kosieradzki J.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Star Starachowice and Biala Podlaska finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Star Starachowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Biala Podlaska come out ahead of Star Starachowice on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Star Starachowice's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 20%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Biala Podlaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
2:2
May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Biala Podlaska Compare
Top Goalscorer Urbanski P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Star Starachowice 67 / 100
Biala Podlaska 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Star Starachowice Biala Podlaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Star Starachowice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Star Starachowice's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Biala Podlaska conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Star Starachowice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Star Starachowice VS Biala Podlaska
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Star Starachowice
(Home) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
Biala Podlaska
(Away) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
15 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
0 : 2 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
