Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Urbanski P.
80' Event
Nojszewski D.
Own Goal
88'
Kosieradzki J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Star Starachowice and Biala Podlaska finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Star Starachowice
6%
Draws
90%
Biala Podlaska
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biala Podlaska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Star Starachowice come out ahead of Biala Podlaska on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Biala Podlaska's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Star Starachowice Biala Podlaska
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Biala Podlaska
1:0
May 10, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Star Starachowice
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Star Starachowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbanski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 10 / 100
Biala Podlaska 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Star Starachowice Biala Podlaska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Star Starachowice's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Biala Podlaska conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Star Starachowice has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Biala Podlaska
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013