Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
47'
47'
Winsztal P.
AI Match Summary
Star Starachowice in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Star Starachowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow haven't matched Star Starachowice's recent run of results.
- Model gives Star Starachowice a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Star Starachowice have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 20%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Star Starachowice
3:1
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Star Starachowice
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Winsztal P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Star Starachowice 67 / 100
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Star Starachowice Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
Star Starachowice's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Star Starachowice has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Star Starachowice VS Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Star Starachowice
(Home) 22 Jul
Star Starachowice
4 : 2 Oskar Przysucha
18 Jul
Star Starachowice
2 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
16 Jul
Moravia Morawica
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
11 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 3 Star Starachowice
04 Jul
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 0 Star Starachowice
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22 Jul
Star Starachowice
4 : 2 Oskar Przysucha
18 Jul
Star Starachowice
2 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
23 May
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Biala Podlaska
13 May
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Avia Swidnik
01 May
Star Starachowice
2 : 1 Naprzod Jedrzejow
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Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Away) 25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1 Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
13 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 3 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
