Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Star Starachowice

2 - 0

Stal Krasnik

Our Tip

Match Events

Szynka A.

76'

Szynka A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Star Starachowice in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Star Starachowice

Draws

90%

Stal Krasnik

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Stal Krasnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Star Starachowice have won more games recently than Stal Krasnik.
Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%

Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Star Starachowice	Stal Krasnik
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1	1.86
Goals Conceded	2.75	0.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Star Starachowice vs Stal Krasnik

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Stal Krasnik vs Star Starachowice

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Star Starachowice Compare

Top Goalscorer Szynka A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Stal Krasnik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.69

Avg xA / game 1.03

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Star Starachowice 10 / 100

Stal Krasnik 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Star Starachowice Stal Krasnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Krasnik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Star Starachowice scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Star Starachowice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Star Starachowice VS Stal Krasnik

1 Goals Scored 1.86

2.75 Goals Conceded 0.71

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 43%

38% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13