Sport Picks
Star Starachowice vs Stal Krasnik
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
2'
2'
Szynka A.
76'
76'
Szynka A.
AI Match Summary
Star Starachowice in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Star Starachowice.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Star Starachowice have won more games recently than Stal Krasnik.
- Stal Krasnik are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Star Starachowice | Stal Krasnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Stal Krasnik
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Star Starachowice
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Star Starachowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Szynka A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Stal Krasnik Compare
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Star Starachowice 10 / 100
Stal Krasnik 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Star Starachowice Stal Krasnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stal Krasnik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
Star Starachowice scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Star Starachowice has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Star Starachowice VS Stal Krasnik
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Star Starachowice
(Home) 26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
22 Aug
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
19 Aug
Star Starachowice
2 : 0 Czarni Polaniec
09 Aug
Star Starachowice
0 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Page 1 of 3
Stal Krasnik
(Away) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
25 Apr
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
11 Apr
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 0 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
