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Starogard Gdanski vs Kleczew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Bohdanowicz J.
53'
Bohdanowicz J.
62' Event
Grobelny M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 game between Starogard Gdanski and Kleczew finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kleczew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Starogard Gdanski
30%
Draws
39%
Kleczew
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kleczew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kleczew carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 15%
Kleczew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Kleczew
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 1 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Kleczew
0:3
Aug 23, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Kleczew vs Starogard Gdanski
4:3
Jun 3, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Kleczew vs Starogard Gdanski
1:2
Nov 5, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Kleczew
3:1
May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Kleczew vs Starogard Gdanski
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kleczew Compare

Top Goalscorer Grobelny M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janiak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 35 / 100
Kleczew 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Kleczew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kleczew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kleczew let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Starogard Gdanski scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Starogard Gdanski remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kleczew
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Starogard Gdanski

(Home)
21 Feb
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 1
Cartusia Kartuzy
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4
Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0
Starogard Gdanski
Page 1 of 6

Kleczew

(Away)
03 Oct
Swit Szczecin
2 : 1
Kleczew
18 Sept
Kleczew
2 : 2
Avia Swidnik
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
05 Sept
Kleczew
0 : 4
Leczna
02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2
Kleczew
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swit Szczecin 34 27 4 3 75:17 85
2 Elana Torun 34 21 8 5 56:21 71
3 Unia Swarzedz 34 19 6 9 66:46 63
4 Zawisza 34 17 7 10 73:38 58
5 Blekitni Stargard 34 17 4 13 80:62 55
6 Notec Czarnkow 34 15 5 14 73:63 50
7 Gedania Gdansk 34 16 2 16 58:56 50
8 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 15 5 14 55:61 50
9 Pogon Szczecin II 34 15 4 15 63:60 49
10 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 14 7 13 56:50 49
11 Kleczew 34 14 6 14 59:65 48
12 Swinoujscie 34 14 4 16 45:60 46
13 Vineta Wolin 34 13 6 15 42:66 45
14 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 12 8 14 60:51 44
15 Luzino 34 10 4 20 48:71 34
16 Stolem Gniewino 34 8 9 17 34:58 33
17 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 7 4 23 40:80 25
18 Starogard Gdanski 34 2 7 25 39:97 13
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