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Starogard Gdanski vs Luzino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wojda D.
21' Event
Wojda D.
61' Event
Zalow R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 game between Starogard Gdanski and Luzino finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Starogard Gdanski
15%
Draws
64%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Luzino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luzino's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 19%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Luzino
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 1 24
Draws 6 2
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1.03 2.31
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Luzino
1:5
Oct 28, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Starogard Gdanski
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Zielinski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojda D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krefft J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 10 / 100
Luzino 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Starogard Gdanski scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Luzino conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

Recent resilience: Starogard Gdanski stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Luzino
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Starogard Gdanski

(Home)
21 Feb
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 1
Cartusia Kartuzy
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4
Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0
Starogard Gdanski
Page 1 of 6

Luzino

(Away)
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swit Szczecin 34 27 4 3 75:17 85
2 Elana Torun 34 21 8 5 56:21 71
3 Unia Swarzedz 34 19 6 9 66:46 63
4 Zawisza 34 17 7 10 73:38 58
5 Blekitni Stargard 34 17 4 13 80:62 55
6 Notec Czarnkow 34 15 5 14 73:63 50
7 Gedania Gdansk 34 16 2 16 58:56 50
8 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 34 15 5 14 55:61 50
9 Pogon Szczecin II 34 15 4 15 63:60 49
10 Nowe Skalmierzyce 34 14 7 13 56:50 49
11 Kleczew 34 14 6 14 59:65 48
12 Swinoujscie 34 14 4 16 45:60 46
13 Vineta Wolin 34 13 6 15 42:66 45
14 Cartusia Kartuzy 34 12 8 14 60:51 44
15 Luzino 34 10 4 20 48:71 34
16 Stolem Gniewino 34 8 9 17 34:58 33
17 Unia Solec Kujawski 34 7 4 23 40:80 25
18 Starogard Gdanski 34 2 7 25 39:97 13
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