Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Starogard Gdanski vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mikula M.
27' Event
Siedlecki B.
74' Event
Mikolajczyk E.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 game between Starogard Gdanski and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Starogard Gdanski
22%
Draws
60%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Polonia Sroda Wielkopol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 14%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:4
Sep 30, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Starogard Gdanski
0:0
Apr 29, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Starogard Gdanski
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:1
Apr 9, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikula M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slawinski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Siedlecki B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikolajczyk E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 19 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starogard Gdanski's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Starogard Gdanski went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713