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Starogard Gdanski vs Zawisza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Starogard Gdanski play Zawisza in the III Liga - Group II 2023/2024. Zawisza are favorites here. Recently, Starogard Gdanski averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. Zawisza averaged 2.04 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Starogard Gdanski won 1, Zawisza won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 13, 2024 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Starogard Gdanski and 1.43 for Zawisza. This points to a Zawisza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Starogard Gdanski
15%
Draws
76%
Zawisza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Starogard Gdanski picked up more points recently compared to Zawisza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 17%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starogard Gdanski Zawisza
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 21
Draws 6 2
Losses 23 5
Goals Scored 1.03 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.9 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Zawisza
1:4
Sep 16, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Starogard Gdanski
6:0
Apr 8, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Zawisza
1:2
Sep 4, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Starogard Gdanski
1:0
May 13, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Starogard Gdanski
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Zielinski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Bojas J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leonowicz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starogard Gdanski 12 / 100
Zawisza 72 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starogard Gdanski Zawisza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zawisza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Zawisza & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +800%
100.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Starogard Gdanski attacking → ← attacking Zawisza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starogard Gdanski scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Zawisza let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Starogard Gdanski went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zawisza lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713