Sport Picks
Starowice Dolne vs BKS Sparta Katowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 
Match Events
20'
20'
Paszkowski K.
80'
80'
Zambrano M.
82'
82'
Kowalczyk K.
AI Match Summary
Starowice Dolne in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Starowice Dolne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
20%
63%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BKS Sparta Katowice
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to BKS Sparta Katowice lately — more wins on the board than Starowice Dolne.
- Model gives BKS Sparta Katowice a 63% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%
BKS Sparta Katowice Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Starowice Dolne | BKS Sparta Katowice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 19 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.57 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs BKS Sparta Katowice
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group III
BKS Sparta Katowice vs Starowice Dolne
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Starowice Dolne Compare
Top Goalscorer Paszkowski K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kowalczyk K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
BKS Sparta Katowice Compare
Top Goalscorer Zambrano M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Starowice Dolne 10 / 100
BKS Sparta Katowice 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Starowice Dolne BKS Sparta Katowice
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BKS Sparta Katowice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Starowice Dolne scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
BKS Sparta Katowice has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Starowice Dolne remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Starowice Dolne VS BKS Sparta Katowice
0 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Starowice Dolne
(Home) 18 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0 Starowice Dolne
30 May
Legnica II
2 : 1 Starowice Dolne
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2 Carina Gubin
16 May
Zielona Gora
5 : 1 Starowice Dolne
13 May
Starowice Dolne
2 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2 Carina Gubin
13 May
Starowice Dolne
2 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
01 May
Starowice Dolne
1 : 6 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
17 Apr
Starowice Dolne
0 : 4 Kluczbork
11 Apr
Starowice Dolne
3 : 0 Stal Jasien
Page 1 of 3
BKS Sparta Katowice
(Away) 03 Oct
BKS Sparta Katowice
1 : 1 Warta Gorzow
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2 BKS Sparta Katowice
19 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
2 : 1 Kluczbork
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
05 Sept
BKS Sparta Katowice
4 : 0 Polonia Nysa
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Legnica II
0 : 2 BKS Sparta Katowice
13 Sept
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
1 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
14 Aug
Brzeg
1 : 1 BKS Sparta Katowice
01 Aug
Zaglebie II
1 : 0 BKS Sparta Katowice
25 Jul
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 5 BKS Sparta Katowice
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zielona Gora | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 77:17 | 73 |
| 2 | Polkowice | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 64:42 | 67 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:34 | 62 |
| 4 | Skra Czestochowa | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:56 | 59 |
| 5 | Zaglebie II | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 77:61 | 57 |
| 6 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:46 | 54 |
| 7 | Kluczbork | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 67:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Warta Gorzow | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:47 | 52 |
| 9 | Gornik Zabrze II | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 73:44 | 51 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:57 | 49 |
| 11 | Woliborz | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | Carina Gubin | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 13 | Legnica II | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:58 | 46 |
| 14 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 57:56 | 45 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51:58 | 37 |
| 16 | Starowice Dolne | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 33:81 | 27 |
| 17 | Pniowek Pawlowice | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 28:77 | 19 |
| 18 | Stal Jasien | 34 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 21:105 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
