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Starowice Dolne vs Stal Jasien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Sat, Apr 11, 2026
3 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Starowice Dolne host Stal Jasien in the III Liga - Group III 2025/2026. Starowice Dolne are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Starowice Dolne at 1.17 goals for, 2.57 against; Stal Jasien at 0.53 for, 3.1 against. Head-to-head, Starowice Dolne have won 1 to Stal Jasien's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.00) point toward Starowice Dolne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Starowice Dolne
15%
Draws
0%
Stal Jasien
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Starowice Dolne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Starowice Dolne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Starowice Dolne taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Starowice Dolne Clean Sheet 10%
Stal Jasien Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Starowice Dolne Stal Jasien
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 19 28
Goals Scored 1.17 0.53
Goals Conceded 2.57 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Starowice Dolne vs Stal Jasien
3:0
Sep 21, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Stal Jasien vs Starowice Dolne
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Starowice Dolne 65 / 100
Stal Jasien 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Starowice Dolne Stal Jasien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Starowice Dolne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Jasien has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Stal Jasien lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Starowice Dolne scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Starowice Dolne VS Stal Jasien
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Starowice Dolne

(Home)
18 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Starowice Dolne
30 May
Legnica II
2 : 1
Starowice Dolne
23 May
Starowice Dolne
0 : 2
Carina Gubin
16 May
Zielona Gora
5 : 1
Starowice Dolne
13 May
Starowice Dolne
2 : 1
BKS Sparta Katowice
Page 1 of 6

Stal Jasien

(Away)
30 May
BKS Sparta Katowice
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
23 May
Stal Jasien
0 : 3
Woliborz
16 May
Carina Gubin
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
13 May
Stal Jasien
0 : 3
Warta Gorzow
09 May
Polkowice
3 : 0
Stal Jasien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zielona Gora 34 21 10 3 77:17 73
2 Polkowice 34 20 7 7 64:42 67
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 34 18 8 8 53:34 62
4 Skra Czestochowa 34 17 8 9 68:56 59
5 Zaglebie II 34 17 6 11 77:61 57
6 Goczalkowice Zdroj 34 15 9 10 49:46 54
7 Kluczbork 34 15 7 12 67:43 52
8 Warta Gorzow 34 15 7 12 54:47 52
9 Gornik Zabrze II 34 15 6 13 73:44 51
10 Sleza Wroclaw 34 14 7 13 49:57 49
11 Woliborz 34 13 9 12 48:49 48
12 Carina Gubin 34 12 11 11 50:51 47
13 Legnica II 34 13 7 14 63:58 46
14 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 34 12 9 13 57:56 45
15 Polonia Nysa 34 9 10 15 51:58 37
16 Starowice Dolne 34 7 6 21 33:81 27
17 Pniowek Pawlowice 34 5 4 25 28:77 19
18 Stal Jasien 34 2 1 31 21:105 7
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)