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Stars FC vs Tucson

USA USA

USL League Two
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Stars FC host Tucson in the USL League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Stars FC at 1.88 goals for, 1.63 against; Tucson at 1.38 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Tucson slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 7, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.50) point toward Tucson. Tucson in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Stars FC
22%
Draws
60%
Tucson
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tucson has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Stars FC.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Tucson.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League Two provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Stars FC Clean Sheet 16%
Tucson Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stars FC Tucson
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 USL League Two
Stars FC vs Tucson
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 USL League Two
Tucson vs Stars FC
4:1
Jul 14, 2025 USL League Two
Tucson vs Stars FC
0:0
May 21, 2025 USL League Two
Stars FC vs Tucson
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stars FC 19 / 100
Tucson 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stars FC Tucson

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stars FC scored in 83% of their last 23 games.

Tucson let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Stars FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tucson lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stars FC VS Tucson
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%